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Moderator: king


2010 - Prepare or Perish

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king

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Post Tue Dec 22, 2009 6:51 am

2010 - Prepare or Perish

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For those who know me and aware of what I have written in the past, please understand the gravity of the following statement, this is arguably the most important article I have ever written. For those who do not know me, please devote the next ten minutes of your life to reading the following article in its entirety because it may ultimately make the difference between life and death, for you and your family. I am not here to fear monger, or over sensationalize. I am presenting the absolute truth of our reality, and at anytime you feel I am being misleading or have skewed information, I highly urge you to research the information on your own.

The ship is sinking, and you are must realize it now before it is too late. The actions and decisions you make in your immediate future are going to be the ones that decide if you sink or swim. If you downplay the urgency of the message presented, you could find yourself in a hole too deep to dig out of before long. Many will die, and you do not have to be one of them.

An important distinction
Predictions and Prophecies. How many times in life have you heard the phrase, or said the phrase “Geez, if I knew what I know now, back then, I would be rich!”. And isn't that the first thing people assume they would do if they could travel back in time? If I had a time machine, I would go back and buy Google stocks! The truth of the matter is that knowing the future gives you many ways that you can prosper.

But of course there is no way to know the future.. right? Everyone simply got lucky, right? Those who invested everything into those long shots, like google, or gold, and struck it rich - simply got lucky. I believe this had nothing to do with luck, these people simply had more knowledge than others, and believed in that knowledge enough to act upon it. Many, many, people were told to invest in Google, or into gold (examples only), but the vast majority didn't. Though they were given the knowledge, they did not act upon it.

Or on the other side of the knowing the future coin, what about the people who predicted the dot com bubble? The mortgage bubble? The credit crisis? Did all of these lunatics just get lucky?

Certain intangible laws exist that drive very specific patterns in human nature and life in general. These people who got lucky didn't get lucky at all, they literally knew the future because the path is absolutely predictable. Humanity has a very terrible case of Amnesia, we so quickly forget the failures and misfortunes of the past, and systematically repeat every mistake over and over again. The only ones who prosper, every single time, are those who are aware of what is coming.

The information and assumptions here-in are not darts that have been wildly thrown towards the board. They are assumptions and beliefs built on the observation of history, and the actual realities of the current global situation. I have nothing to sell you, I simply believe the time for action is now.

Today is a time unlike any other in the past, and we sit on the edge of the what could be the largest mass extinction of humanity in history. The good news? You do not need to be a part of it.

Oil
What do we do with oil? The first thing that most people think of, is that we use it for gasoline. Though that is correct, what most people don't understand is that producing fuel accounts for less than half of what we actually use oil for.

These [uses] include liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), naphtha, kerosene, gasoil and fuel oil. Other useful products which are not fuels can also be manufactured by refining crude oil, such as lubricants and asphalt (used in paving roads). A range of sub-items like perfumes and insecticides are also ultimately derived from crude oil.

Furthermore, several of the products listed above which are derived from crude oil, such as naphtha, gasoil, LPG and ethane, can themselves be used as inputs or feedstocks in the production of petrochemicals. There are more than 4,000 different petrochemical products, but those which are considered as basic products include ethylene, propylene, butadiene, benzene, ammonia and methanol. The main groups of petrochemical end-products are plastics, synthetic fibres, synthetic rubbers, detergents and chemical fertilisers.
- http://www.opec.org


So without oil, ships quit crossing the ocean, the trucks stand still on the highway, and your car sits idle in your driveway. But on top of all that, practically all commercial manufacturing stalls. Insecticide and fertilizer production stalls, and with that so does commercial food production. Look around your room, how much plastic do you see? No plastic, no electronics. No plastic, no food packaging and on and on and on. Quite literally, without oil, the world grinds to a halt.

Once one realizes how much is needed from oil, they must then understand that at this point no other substance could replace it for us fast enough to make a real difference in our immediate future. Between now, and then, this world will transform so much that it will seem foreign to today.

Understanding Peak Oil
In 2000 the Bush Administration setup the National Energy Policy Development Group (NEPDG), under complete control of then Vice President, Dick Cheney. It's minutes and records were kept a secret, except 7 pages which were obtained through lawsuits.

This group already knew of and understood the extreme risk of Peak Oil. The 7 pages make it quite clear that the group was interested in where oil was, who owned it, and how much there was.

To understand peak oil, imagine a graph. Oil production in the last hundred years has steadily increased creating a peak in the graph. But now we have passed the peak and are on the decline. The United States reached its peak production in 1970. World wide, not one reserve has been found to be near as large as the largest in Saudi Arabia, the Ghawar Field
Reserve discovered in 1948. All the easy to find oil has already been plundered.

So now not only do we have less oil, but it's becoming harder to find. In the past drilling for oil could produce 200 gallons at the cost of one. Today, that ratio has declined sharply and companies find themselves spending hundreds of millions before producing one barrel. How much of that money do you think is spent consuming oil, in the pursuit of oil?

Iraq
One of the solutions that was apparently suggested by the NEPDG was the invasion of Afghanistan and then Iraq. Afghanistan for the pipe lines, and Iraq for the Oil. There has never been any evidence that Saddam Hussein had anything to do with 911. 911 was simply a precursor to allow the invasion.

The fact of the matter is that we never planned on leaving Iraq. Beginning in 2004, construction of 3 of the largest military bases on earth began in Iraq. As well as the construction of the largest Embassy complex on earth, surpassing the size of the Vatican. All while the oil supply is seized and pillaged. But even with the theft of this oil, it is no where near enough to satisfy the American thirst.

Oil for Food?
Long gone are the days of crop rotation and responsible farming. In the day of Monsanto mutant seeds, and thousands of fertilizers and sprays, the soil we rely on for our food has itself become addicted to oil.

Our soil is useless without the chemicals we produce from oil and natural gas. From there we use an oil powered plow, then an oil powered seed planter. Then we use irrigation that took a lot of oil to be constructed. But we then have to power the pumps to bring the water, so we use electricity made from mainly coal and natural gas.

After that, we then use fertilizer made from oil. The fertilizers and pesticides are applied by an oil powered vehicle, as well as the oil powered crop dusters.

Harvest times comes along and what do we do? Hop in an oil powered vehicle to harvest. Then we ship it in an oil powered vehicle to a processor. The processor wraps it in plastic made from oil and then puts it back in an oil powered vehicle to get to distributors and then retailers.

For every one calorie of energy we produce in food, we spend 10 in oil.

Pretty efficient, wouldn't you think?

The most profound effect of oil, thanks to its million and one uses, was it's ability to facilitate human population growth. Approximately two billion people were one earth in the 19th century. This grew slow and steady till the dawn of the 20th century when Oil started to make its commercial debut. Since then, the population has ballooned to well over 6 billion.

The day we can not pay the price of the oil, is the day the music ends. But we've afforded the cost of oil for the last 100 years, so what, other than peak oil, would make it unaffordable?

Snapping back to reality..
In 2008 the American Public got their first little slap of reality. You may know this time as the beginning of the economic crisis. The collapse of the housing market, the freezing of the credit markets, the failure of Wall Street brokerage firms (Bear Stearns/Lehman Brothers), the failure of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae, the failure of AIG, Iceland’s economic collapse, the bankruptcy of the major auto manufacturers (General Motors, Ford, and Chrysler), etc.

But what is important is how caught off guard people were by it. The majority of the public marched blindly off the cliff. Ignoring all warnings and alarms. A lot of people, lost everything, and many are still in the process of losing everything.

This can be blamed entirely on the fact that they were not making the most informed decisions because they were operating on incomplete or erroneous information. And some intentionally just kept their heads in the sand, more interested in Gossip Girl, and American Idol. Look where they found themselves with such a small crisis.

Derivatives..
Derivatives are anything derived from a tangible asset, which is then over leveraged, and traded. The derivatives market has ballooned so far out of control that it is impossible to bail out. The bubble is estimated at well over 1 quadrillion dollars. Exponentially larger than all the wealth on earth.

Derivatives are unregulated, not traded on any public exchange, without universal standards, dealt with by private agreement, not transparent, have no open bid/ask market, are not guaranteed, have no central clearing house, and are just not really tangible. Source

This is how they became so out of control. Essentially, the reality is that the entire thing is a massive Ponzi scheme, approximately 20,000-30,000 times larger than what Madoff conducted. The only thing they can do is keep propping it up, until eventually cannot be sustained, then, like all ponzi schemes, it fails. How many people committed suicide because they lost everything due to Madoff's scheme? Now multiply that by 20 - 30,000 times, and add in the failure of transportation and food production. See what were looking at?

If the Derivatives bubble implodes, so will the dollar, and when the dollar implodes, guess how much oil costs?

Federal Reserve Audit
As I have said repeatedly in the past, this will go through. The Fed will be audited, and everyone, world wide, will realize they now have a lot of monopoly money. When the fed gets audited, the US dollar will implode. Not if, but when.

More War in the Middle East
What happens to the price of oil, if war breaks out between Iran and Israel? Or Iran and the US? What if Russia gets involved, they produce a lot of oil. If another war breaks out, just imagine what happens to the price of oil. Always remember that the inflation of oil prices is the equivalent of having no oil at all, since it is will be far too pricey to purchase.

Massive Foreign Debts
If at anytime, any of the above happens, or any one of many other things occurs, and we incur a loss of confidence by any of the large foreign investors... good bye dollar. Countries like China, Saudi Arabia, Japan, and others, hold trillions of US debt. If any one of them starts to unload, it will produce a “run on the bank” so to speak. And poof, there goes the dollar.

What life looks like during hyper inflation
The German Hyperinflation of 1923

Before World War I Germany was a prosperous country, with a gold-backed currency, expanding industry, and world leadership in optics, chemicals, and machinery. The German Mark, the British shilling, the French franc, and the Italian lira all had about equal value, and all were exchanged four or five to the dollar. That was in 1914. In 1923, at the most fevered moment of the German hyperinflation, the exchange rate between the dollar and the Mark was one trillion Marks to one dollar, and a wheelbarrow full of money would not even buy a newspaper. Most Germans were taken by surprise by the financial tornado.

"My father was a lawyer," says Walter Levy, an internationally known German-born oil consultant in New York, "and he had taken out an insurance policy in 1903, and every month he had made the payments faithfully. It was a 20-year policy, and when it came due, he cashed it in and bought a single loaf of bread."


More than inflation, the Germans feared unemployment. In 1919 Communists had tried to take over, and severe unemployment might give the Communists another chance. The great German industrial combines -- Krupp, Thyssen, Farben, Stinnes -- condoned the inflation and survived it well. A cheaper Mark, they reasoned, would make German goods cheap and easy to export, and they needed the export earnings to buy raw materials abroad. Inflation kept everyone working.

So the printing presses ran, and once they began to run, they were hard to stop. The price increases began to be dizzying. Menus in cafes could not be revised quickly enough. A student at Freiburg University ordered a cup of coffee at a cafe. The price on the menu was 5,000 Marks. He had two cups. When the bill came, it was for 14,000 Marks. "If you want to save money," he was told, "and you want two cups of coffee, you should order them both at the same time."

The presses of the Reichsbank could not keep up though they ran through the night. Individual cities and states began to issue their own money. …

The flight from currency that had begun with the buying of diamonds, gold, country houses, and antiques now extended to minor and almost useless items -- bric-a-brac, soap, hairpins. The law-abiding country crumbled into petty thievery. Copper pipes and brass armatures weren't safe. Gasoline was siphoned from cars. People bought things they didn't need and used them to barter -- a pair of shoes for a shirt, some crockery for coffee. Berlin had a "witches' Sabbath" atmosphere. Prostitutes of both sexes roamed the streets. Cocaine was the fashionable drug. In the cabarets the newly rich and their foreign friends could dance and spend money. Other reports noted that not all the young people had a bad time. Their parents had taught them to work and save, and that was clearly wrong, so they could spend money, enjoy themselves, and flout the old.

The publisher Leopold Ullstein wrote: "People just didn't understand what was happening. All the economic theory they had been taught didn't provide for the phenomenon. There was a feeling of utter dependence on anonymous powers -- almost as a primitive people believed in magic -- that somebody must be in the know, and that this small group of 'somebodies' must be a conspiracy."

When the 1,000-billion Mark note came out, few bothered to collect the change when they spent it. By November 1923, with one dollar equal to one trillion Marks, the breakdown was complete. The currency had lost meaning.


But although the country functioned again, the savings were never restored, nor were the values of hard work and decency that had accompanied the savings. There was a different temper in the country, a temper that Hitler would later exploit with diabolical talent. Thomas Mann wrote: "The market woman who without batting an eyelash demanded 100 million for an egg lost the capacity for surprise. And nothing that has happened since has been insane or cruel enough to surprise her."

With the currency went many of the lifetime plans of average citizens. It was the custom for the bride to bring some money to a marriage; many marriages were called off. Widows dependent on insurance found themselves destitute. People who had worked a lifetime found that their pensions would not buy one cup of coffee.

Pearl Buck, the American writer who became famous for her novels of China, was in Germany in 1923. She wrote later: "The cities were still there, the houses not yet bombed and in ruins, but the victims were millions of people. They had lost their fortunes, their savings; they were dazed and inflation-shocked and did not understand how it had happened to them and who the foe was who had defeated them. Yet they had lost their self-assurance, their feeling that they themselves could be the masters of their own lives if only they worked hard enough; and lost, too, were the old values of morals, of ethics, of decency."

- Extract from Paper Money by "Adam Smith," covering Germany's hyperinflation in 1923


2010 Food Shortage
In 2009 Supply and Demand in the Agricultural markets went completely out of whack. This is due to the nonsensical way that the USDA has conducted itself during this time.

They are predicting record Soy and Corn production, despite the fact, at the same time they have declared almost 300 counties as disaster areas in the last month alone. Disaster areas designate an area which has suffered 30%+ crop damage. This does not include other counties which have suffered below 30% losses.

“the USDA is even predicting record soybean harvests in the same states (Oklahoma, Louisiana, Arkansas, and Alabama) where it has declared virtually all counties to have experienced 30 percent production losses. “

The USDA is caught in a catch-22. Because while they should be reducing estimates, which would increase prices, and decrease the consumption, they are worried that doing so would wreak havoc on the economy, leading to the collapse of the treasury market. Instead, as usual, they are choosing to cook the books so that everything appears A-OK until we march right off the cliff.

The mere fact that they have gone so far in cooking the books to make the situation appear normal, while knowing reality is not what they are predicting, shows that they are absolutely terrified of the alternative. Doing what they have done has made the entire situation far worse than it ever should have been.

So while farmers are shouting that their crops are ruined. The USDA is telling everyone that we are on the verge of record crops. Which has produced record demand, and record futures on exports. Exports that we will not have when it comes time to export.

Again, when the world realizes that we are on the verge of a massive food crisis, the ship starts sinking. As the price of food begins to rise, countries will be forced to begin offloading the dollars that they hold. Doing this will decrease the value of the American Dollar (inflation), while it increases the value of their domestic currency. This will be the only way that they will be able to afford food, or their populations will starve. The entire mess is so erroneous, and so illogical and unnecessary that it is of my opinion, that this is by design. The USDA purposely created this bubble, I leave the "why?" for the reader to decide.

This could be the domino that sets the rest in motion.

News Flash! Consumerism pronounced dead, in 2010
The collapse of the dollar ushers in the long overdue, death of the consumer. Currently, 70% of the US Economy is based on consumer spending. Without it, the economy fails. Any economy that depends on consumerism, cannot sustain a large contraction in consumer spending. Imagine your local mall, and then take a moment to realize how many superficial, pointless stores are located in it. Which produce absolutely no economical benefit to not only your community, but your entire country, OTHER than the initial consumer spending portion of it. Less than 10% of the economy is based on production or manufacturing, and this system cannot be sustained.

With the death of the consumer, comes the death of a lot of businesses. You think 20% unemployment is bad? What about 50%? The great depression will seem like a walk in the park. At least during the great depression we weren't an entirely service based economy, we had manufacturing and physical industries.

Oil Alternatives
If you do not know why we have put ourselves through the epic failure known as the war on drugs, look no further than Hemp. At points in the United States history, it was illegal NOT to grow hemp. Hemp was a vital part of the American economy, so much so, that you could actually pay your taxes in hemp. But this all changed in the early 1900's when DuPont realized the stunning implications of hemp oil and it's widespread manufacturing uses. Hemp, if industrialized, stood to jeopardize over 80% of DuPont's business.

Hemp is a renewable resource that can be grown quickly and harvested multiple times per year. In 1916, the U.S. Government predicted that by the 1940s all paper would come from hemp and that no more trees need to be cut down. Government studies report that 1 acre of hemp equals 4.1 acres of trees. Plans were in the works to implement such programs; Department of Agriculture.

But not only paper can be made from hemp, practically anything that we can now produce with oil could be produced from Hemp. It was this realization that terrified DuPont and others who had patented the manufacturing process of plastics derived from oil. So they began a marketing campaign to associate Hemp with it's "evil brother" marijuana. The history of the propaganda is comical at best, since it often contradicted itself. Despite that fact, the propaganda was successful. Marijuana was demonized, and with it, so was Hemp.

This is why I am so outspoken when it comes to the War on Drugs. Not only has the War on Drugs been an epic failure in terms of time, resources, and human productivity that is squandered, but the illegality of drugs also creates a black market which funds criminal enterprises. Criminal enterprises like the Mafia, and criminal enterprises like the Alphabet Agencies of the Fascist States of America.

The most blinding hypocrisy comes with Marijuana being a designated a Schedule One substance, being lumped into a group with drugs like heroin and LSD. But the cold hard facts of the situation (according to Government statistics) is that Marijuana (the drug) is the safest drug that humanity has ever consumed, period. Advil and Tylenol being many thousands of times more lethal than Marijuana, killing thousands in the US alone, every year. So if at any point in the future you hear someone arguing for prohibition, highlight reality for them, and perhaps they will cease to propagate ignorance that has caused many of the problems that have devastated our country.

Law Enforcement Against Prohibition (http://www.leap.org) wrote a great book speaking out against Prohibition, and these are the guys who have been responsible for enforcing it. Further reading on the DuPont, hemp conspiracy, can be found here.

The Natural Law of Growth
The natural law of growth describes the observable manner in which any organism that encounters favorable circumstances and then experiences exponential growth, must then suffer an immediate collapse when favorable circumstances cease to exist. This phenomena is witnessed on the lowest levels of nature, in bacterial growth. All the way up to wild life, and stock markets. When time stretches in length many billions of years, a decade is less than one grain of sand on all the worlds beaches. Don't fool yourself into believing humanity is too big to fail.

Once the factor that is driving the exponential growth runs out, or can no longer be sustained, collapse is inevitable. With so many things that can literally grind life to a halt, everyone must understand that humanity is about to go through a huge paradigm shift. Today will seem completely foreign to those who remain a decade from now.

Neutering the population, and lessons of the past
In 1991 the Soviet Union collapsed, and with its collapse two countries no longer had access to the oil tap – North Korea and Cuba. Both countries fundamentally dealt with the issue in opposite ways, and thus endured opposite reactions.

North Korea was a rigid, bureaucratic, top-down nation where the central government managed everything. As a result, the nation essentially starved to death as it was unable to sustain its government, and people were unable to become self sustainable. Without oil there was no fertilizer, transit or energy and they had no means to survive, so they starved.

Cuba on the other hand went the opposite direction. Demanding that citizens farm all usable land, using natural fertilizers, so they could become self sustainable. Once they had shed the constraints of the business of food, Cubans were eating healthier than they ever had. As a result, they thrived during a very tough period.

The entire solutions rests in self sustainability. The reality of our situation, is that if we all dealt locally, and our communities could support themselves, there would be little risk in having a world economic crash. Because if that occurs, oh well, get by for now, get back to normal later.

Unfortunately, the past several decades have been nothing short of the neutering of the Western Populations. Practically nothing we use in a typical day, came from our community. So when the ships stop sailing, the trucks stop shipping, and our cars stop transporting us, we will be in for a very abrupt and rude awakening.

None of this is by chance. The United States was systematically de-industrialized and manufacturing was outsourced. Food is not grown anymore, it is manufactured. How many people actually cook real meals? How many people grow any of their own food? How many people could actually feed themselves for just one month if the grocery stores did not restock?

The answer is apparent. That is why this collapse is going to be like nothing that has happened in the last 70 years. Something that the boomers have never had to deal with. They have never come anywhere close to the collapse of the dollar, or oil shortages, food shortages, 25%-50%+ unemployment, etc.

So many people are going to be so completely blind sided by this event that they will be forced to perish. By the time they realize the ship is capsizing, they will already be drowning. Those who saw it coming, and prepared themselves to swim, will not be able to shoulder the burden of all those who remained ignorant, it's just not possible to prepare for that many people who are on their own, essentially useless.

It's this initial massive unrest, and subsequent die off that you must survive. Being unprepared will cause massive desperation, and people will lose their mind. You do not want to be a part of this.

The economic crisis of 2008 did not shut down transportation. It did not shut down oil access, did not destroy food production, did not produce hyperinflation, did not collapse the dollar. In fact, everything for the average person is business as usual, American Idol at 9, CSI at 10.

”But you said billions would perish?”
With the failure of the United States, will come the failure of many nations which rely on the United States. China, India, Europe, Japan, Canada, to name a few, will all feel the effects. Who will survive, will be decided by who can become self sustainable. The problem though, is that no foreign government has been preparing in a large enough fashion to even soften the blow, although India has taken some steps. There will be no way to support all the people that will be blind-sided by this global collapse, and thus billions will die in the process.

We will not be hauled off to concentration camps, invaded, or bombed, we will starve to death after the machine grinds to a halt, and we can no longer provide for ourselves locally.

How much time do we have?
On this, I can only give an opinion. Anyone who claims to know a very specific date is likely selling snake oil. The issue as outlined above, is that there are many, many things that can catalyze the destruction of the dollar. Most importantly, large scale war with Iran, the world food crisis, the auditing of the fed, or a sudden liquidation of American Bonds by Foreign debt holders, will likely be what sets the dominoes tumbling.

The good thing is that this collapse will take a few days, starting with shortages of certain things, in certain areas first. In hindsight, the collapse will appear to have happened instantaneously, but as you're experiencing it, it will be a gradual but rapid collapse. If you notice any of the large indicators listed above being pushed through the Mainstream Media, you are out of time.

So my personal opinion, is that things get really bad next fall, but we begin to see blatant warning signs by summer. Do not take this to mean that you can wait till June to start preparing, because I do not know for certain. And you do not want to miss this boat. It is absolutely vital that you are prepared when the implosion begins. I have been preparing for almost a year, and even I want a few more months to further preparation. Whether we will get that much time, or more, is unknown.

”What hell should I do now???”
I know this has been a lengthy article, but all of it was necessary to paint the very real picture of our near future. As I mentioned at the beginning, if you think I have skewed facts or made things out to be far worse than they are, I desperately urge you to investigate.

What someone should do with this information is completely unique to their situation. Not everyone can afford to build a bunker and stock it with 2 years of food. Getting through what is coming is going to come down to how well you can survive locally. If you do not know how to survive on the land, then DON'T run for the hills, you will just die.

If you live in a city, you have to leave immediately. Just imagine what the streets of New York will look like with millions starving, and a destroyed dollar. It will be pandemonium and you DO NOT WANT TO BE INVOLVED WITH THAT. There will be no revolution, there will be no invasion, there will be no concentration camps, there is no need for any of that, since we will destroy ourselves.

The first thing everyone needs to do is prepare for their family:
- Stock food, but not only that, develop a way to create food for yourself. If you have land, prepare to grow on it with natural fertilizers, or even acquire grazing livestock.
- If you're in the States specifically, guns and ammo should also be stocked.
- Prepare back up power, so that you can keep food cool, provide heat, and cook.
- If you have any money in any sort of investments get it out IMMEDIATELY, and turn it into hard assets, anything tradable. If you can afford it, get gold, if you can't afford that, get silver. These will be useful for trading, and have for all of history held great value.

The common argument you often hear when you someone suggests purchasing gold or silver is that "You can't eat either". But, the thing is that they are easily tradable and will have a "common or understood" value based on the circumstances. If you are short on something you need, your neighbor may not want to trade any of your junk for what you need, silver and gold provide an easily tradable asset that people know always has a value.

- Prepare to protect your property and family. Keep in mind, millions will be unprepared.
- Practically any commodity that you can hoard for future trading will help if that's all you can do.
- Turn off mainstream media IMMEDIATELY, absolutely every single topic that they shove down your throat means nothing. It is simply there to distract you, divide you, and it will ultimately conquer you.

If you cannot become self sufficient, and survive for a few months (at very minimum) on your own, I am terribly sorry. I wish I could sugar coat it, but I can't. I do not see much chance of surviving what is about to come down the pipe.

Epilogue
Anyone who has made it this far and has understood what I have stated, now holds a unique position versus their societal counterparts. I can lead a horse to water, but I cannot force it to drink. The collapse of the dollar is immanent. And though we cannot pin point exactly which straw will break the camels back, and when, we do know the ultimate outcome.

When billions are blind sided, you too will either be blind sided, or you will be prepared. Which situation you find yourself in, is entirely up to you. You know the future, now you must take the steps required, so that you and your family can survive and prosper.

SPECIAL THANKS
Special thanks to Jakes of http://www.shtf411.com for bringing the Documentary "Collapse" to my attention. Without it, I lacked the inspiration and urgency to sit down and put this together. And without it, I lacked the expanded perspective needed to accomplish such a task. This thanks is further extended to Michael Ruppert whose dedication, and sacrifice over the last decade ultimately made this entire article possible.

Furthermore, thanks to Eric deCarbonnel of http://www.marketskeptics.com for his article 2010 Food Crisis for Dummies.

An article that I urge everyone to read. Some information here in, has been derived from that article and simplified for ease of reading. To get a much larger perspective of the food crisis, take the time to read that extensive article. Also, take the time to find and watch the Documentary Collapse, it is an amazingly well put documentary and can provide a more expanded incite into some of the issues covered here in.

Sources:
http://current.com/items/91419883_colla ... railer.htm
http://www.marketskeptics.com/2009/12/2 ... mmies.html
http://www.infowars.com/the-size-of-der ... on-planet/
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Derivative_%28finance%29
http://www.gravmag.com/needed to read and understand what I have written in its entirety. I know for many, especially Sancho and Warren some of the info is redundant, but I have put it all together to paint the reality of our situation. Our situation, is one of dire urgency, and I firmly believe that failing to take action immediately, will produce dire consequences.

Enjoy.
Last edited by king on Sun Jan 31, 2010 3:53 am, edited 4 times in total.
ATTENTION: ANY POST/THREAD I CREATE REFLECTS MY OPINION ONLY, AND NOT THAT OF THE STAFF OR OWNERS OF SHTF411.COM

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Post Tue Dec 22, 2009 7:20 am

Re: 2010 - Prepare or Perish

I appreciate you taking the time to put that together as it was obviously a ton of work and thoughtfully written.

However. . .

I heard this same thing in 2006, 2007 and 2008, how the following year everything was going to collapse, there would be rioting in the streets, etc. While things did get worse, they have yet to match the doom and gloom predictions.

This isn't to say that I don't see value in preparing. I did prepare, I bought and planted fruit trees, started a garden, bought heirloom seeds, back up power, stocked a year's supply of food, survival gear, ammo and so forth. I have moved toward a more self-sustainable lifestyle.

I will likely replenish my food stores next month, for the coming year -- at least the staple items. I can see significant savings on my items by buying in bulk.

But starvation and a food shortage? Sorry, I bought into that last year and it didn't happen. I guess my question to you is at what point do you scream, "Bullshit"? When do we all as a group begin rejecting this fear mongering?

Now, I know the argument will be that it is better safe than sorry, but that doesn't fly. I was so adamant about my family taking up gardening last year, that there was a huge family fight about how I had "gone off the deep end" and serious discussion about my sanity in light of my preps. I am estranged from some of my siblings as a result. I lost two very long term friendships as well due to my "overwhelming negativity regarding the economy." Yes, they even said to me, "You used to be so optimistic. What happened?"

If it doesn't happen this summer, should we all start banding together to resist people who spread a message of doom for 2011? Because I promised myself last year that if nothing happened in 2009, I would not accept a prediction of gloom for 2010.
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dodadoom

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Post Tue Dec 22, 2009 8:12 am

Re: 2010 - Prepare or Perish

@Bonehead
Maybe its like washing your car, and then it rains! :huh:

If we are ready for it, maybe it won't happen! :coolthumb:

Sorry to hear about the family fight, btw. :umm:
I must have an understanding family!
They kinda get into it. :calm:
Last edited by dodadoom on Tue Dec 22, 2009 8:17 am, edited 2 times in total.
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Post Tue Dec 22, 2009 8:46 am

Re: 2010 - Prepare or Perish

King, I wanted to say, geat post!
I would also like to dispute this but I havent read all your links,
so I dont really have the right to comment on that aspect.
Who knows really.
Climate change goes right along with peak oil though.
No, not a global warming or cooling debate!
I wanted to create a thread of news just on the localized affects of this change and you almost gave me the courage.
I have a ton of good info on this subject and first hand experience!
Its getting harder to grow crops just because of the crazy 'ass hat' weather, for one!
Let alone all the other factors such as new and worse invasive pests,
more fertilizer demands, less yields, lost crops, lost topsoil, no water, scorching sun, hail, heavy rain, etc, etc...
I see the perfect shit storm on the horizon and I have to say your time line fits together a little too perfect also.

Alas, I realize another thread about shtf wont change anything and the info prolly wouldnt get looked at anyway. If you want to believe you will, if you dont, you wont.
We are ready, but the world isn't.
I can post a million pictures of a thousand vanishing glaciers but it wouldnt change anything.
A thousand acres of dying plant pictures, but it wont matter.
It has turned conveniently into a tailor made conspiracy available for instant download on the lcd screen for the masses to reject nicely. This lets them off the hook yet again.
Lilttle do they know it will affect the very availability of everything they have come to expect.
Only when people run out of food and basic neccesities will they even care to look at the evidence that the shit hit the fan long ago. By then it will be too late for sure.
Then they wont be able to afford anything anyway btw.
Check mate.
Call me a paranoid scare monger, but it won't be me that gets bit in the ass if I can help it.
Doesnt matter when, could be in 50 years, but s will htf eventually.
The wound is open, nothing but bandaid fixes are being implemented now.
We need major surgery and the peeps dont have the stomach for it.
My 2

Then theres always yellowstone....... :cheesygrin2:
Last edited by dodadoom on Wed Dec 23, 2009 12:41 am, edited 3 times in total.
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king

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Post Tue Dec 22, 2009 10:21 am

Re: 2010 - Prepare or Perish

Bonehead wrote:I appreciate you taking the time to put that together as it was obviously a ton of work and thoughtfully written.

However. . .

I heard this same thing in 2006, 2007 and 2008, how the following year everything was going to collapse, there would be rioting in the streets, etc. While things did get worse, they have yet to match the doom and gloom predictions.

This isn't to say that I don't see value in preparing. I did prepare, I bought and planted fruit trees, started a garden, bought heirloom seeds, back up power, stocked a year's supply of food, survival gear, ammo and so forth. I have moved toward a more self-sustainable lifestyle.

I will likely replenish my food stores next month, for the coming year -- at least the staple items. I can see significant savings on my items by buying in bulk.

But starvation and a food shortage? Sorry, I bought into that last year and it didn't happen. I guess my question to you is at what point do you scream, "Bullshit"? When do we all as a group begin rejecting this fear mongering?

Now, I know the argument will be that it is better safe than sorry, but that doesn't fly. I was so adamant about my family taking up gardening last year, that there was a huge family fight about how I had "gone off the deep end" and serious discussion about my sanity in light of my preps. I am estranged from some of my siblings as a result. I lost two very long term friendships as well due to my "overwhelming negativity regarding the economy." Yes, they even said to me, "You used to be so optimistic. What happened?"

If it doesn't happen this summer, should we all start banding together to resist people who spread a message of doom for 2011? Because I promised myself last year that if nothing happened in 2009, I would not accept a prediction of gloom for 2010.


Everything has been dependent on WHEN the dollar will fail. Up until now, everything that can cause the collapse has been propped up. Now every single day more and more things line up to have the chance to be the one that destroys the dollar.

Everything I have mentioned is based on the collapse of the dollar. It is inevitable, its not a "oh maybe, ya sure", it has to happen. Why it hasn't happened already is manipulation pure and simple. But as I heavily detailed in the thread, the ponzi scheme can only be propped up so long before it has to collapse.

If you honestly believe that the dollar will not fail then you need to do more research. Every fiat currency ends the same way, hyper inflation until death. The great depression had 25% unemployment, and that was with industries and manufacturing. True unemployment in some states has already surpassed 20%, and we have yet to have our real economic collapse that will coincide with the collapse of the dollar. 70% of our economy is service and consumerism based, only 10% is left for manufacturing and industry.

You honestly believe that when the dollars collapses all these frivolous businesses wont collapse with it? Unemployment wont surpass 50%??? Where will anyone get a job??

Thus, if you understand the complex and impossible to conquer issues that face the global economic system, you have no choice but to admit that collapse is imminent. Once you understand collapse is imminent, just sit and think about all the repercussions. None of it is pretty.
ATTENTION: ANY POST/THREAD I CREATE REFLECTS MY OPINION ONLY, AND NOT THAT OF THE STAFF OR OWNERS OF SHTF411.COM

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Post Tue Dec 22, 2009 2:05 pm

Re: 2010 - Prepare or Perish

King , Thanks for the post I'm sure it was a ton of work.
I have to agree with you about our fetish with reading , posting , discussing things of no importance . Sure it is a good way to kill time but as you have pointed out bad shit is coming down the pipe , and we should be be focusing on getting our houses in order.
I know the potential for large scale bank failure is at hand, Insurance co.s are going to take a huge hit , and the colapse of basic services would be hot on the heels of any of these events happening.
peak oil , H1N1 , climate change , water/food shortages , unemployment , and fiscal mismanagement on a scale to big for words are for sure the sign posts on the road to ruin.
I don't think this is a fear mongering post .
Unless the TPTB can figure out how to keep this shell game going most if not all of these things will happen.
My 2 cents
The art of war teaches us to rely not on the likelihood of the enemy's not coming, but on our own readiness to receive him; not on the chance of his not attacking, but rather on the fact that we have made our position unassailable.
- Sun Tzu
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Post Tue Dec 22, 2009 11:12 pm

Re: 2010 - Prepare or Perish

King,

Thanks and I do agree. I prefer your date of next fall rather than early 2010. It could still happen at any moment. You have done your research.

I'm ready!
For here we are not afraid to follow truth wherever it may lead...
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Post Tue Dec 22, 2009 11:13 pm

Re: 2010 - Prepare or Perish

dodadoom,

I really think you should do that thread. It would be nice. I liked your last one!
For here we are not afraid to follow truth wherever it may lead...
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dodadoom

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Post Wed Dec 23, 2009 12:24 am

Re: 2010 - Prepare or Perish

Thanks wonder!
I guess it might be pretty good as a lure for the planet haters....
You know, the one thread sacrifices itself for the good of the others? :cheesygrin:

Sorry, would not make one bit of difference to the situation. :bye:
Minds are made up and the appropriate armies are gathered.
The damage has been done. Thank you though. :coolthumb:
We have chosen our path and its not one of sustainabilty.

I just like reading and responding to threads mostly,
not neccesarily being the threadmeister.
Besides there are like a b' jillion must read ones here already!
What is important to me is often not to others.
Likewise, I dont read the petty threads about msm news type stuff.

Climate change is all just a conspiracy now anyway......:wacko: :lol:
Thanks very much for your positive words!
Last edited by dodadoom on Wed Dec 23, 2009 12:32 am, edited 2 times in total.
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Jakes

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Post Wed Dec 23, 2009 2:05 am

Re: 2010 - Prepare or Perish

We certainly have storm clouds gathering on the horizon, and will humanity survive the latest tempest to befall us? Who knows? However, the prognosis looks grim, given the direction our government is heading with astronomical deficit spending, the Federal Reserve running the presses 24/7 (devaluing the dollar to mere paper), escalation in military tensions around the world, corruption at every level in government in the country and the world over, and last but not least, "Crossing the Rubicon," on the downward slope of oil production and discovery.

The examples above are just some crisis points, and there are many. They are all the hallmarks of a civilization on the brink of collapse as highlighted in your thread king, and in the documentary "Collapse," as you have referenced. People say stock up on food, ammo, weapons, gold, barter goods, and so on . . . However, this collapse could take decades, and quite possibly a life time to recover to a sense of normalcy. Much of the soil is arid without pesticides and other chemicals to spurn growth in crops. Once the chemicals run out, how long will it be to restore the soil to natural growth patterns? Years or even decades? The soil is sour across the world's breadbasket. Therefore, we are talking mass starvation on a scale unseen by humanity. Then as malnourishment sets in among majority of the human population, disease runs rampant with the weakening of once healthy immune systems. No gun or once of gold can protect anyone from a vicious virus.

Then packs of bandits and thugs will prey on people with supplies: fuel, food stores, ammunition, plunder (gold and silver), livestock, working transportation, and other essentials for survival. They say there is security in numbers, and if that is true, then people need to put aside their petty difference and competitive dispositions and truly work together instead of self. However, with the derision that is bred in us from birth by people of authority, will the aforementioned mode of thought bear fruit on a grand scale? Sadly, I have my doubts, because as they say, it is everyman for themselves, now, and I am pretty sure in the possible future that awaits. You can't teach an old dog new tricks.

Personally, the problem at hand is one that is of the most seriousness, but still I think many are wishing for that pot of gold at the end of the rainbow as they had in the midst of other calamities. However, I think this one is different than anything humanity has ever experienced in its long history. We are talking about possibly returning a stone-age way of life. The will be a global collapse of reality as we have known it for as long humans have been keeping records.

Maybe, personal survival is like singing to the choir and a mute point? We know governments will react quite militantly when their very way of life and security is threatened. We know this from history when Adolf Hitler invaded the Soviet Union for what he called "Lebensraum," and the Soviet Union's limitless access to raw materials and agriculture. Now, could the United States, China, Russia, India, or any other developed country use its military to seize what another nation has and they don't? Yes, most definitely because we know from the past that it has happened and will happen again. This, however, nuclear weapons is the bull in the china shop, when in the aforementioned historical account, they were not. So, as I said earlier, maybe we will not have to worry about living from foot to mouth again, because maybe the world will be practically annihilated in a nuclear exchange? When it comes to war for food, oil, or other essential resources, the previously mentioned scenario is very possible, and likely.

To put things into perspective, I see this thing going in many directions and each one worse than the other. Can humanity survive an attack on all fronts, because as has been mentioned in this thread and the film, every aspect of what it means to be human at this juncture in history is open for attack. Extinction could very well be the possibility, and as Nikita Kruschev once said regarding nuclear war, and perhaps, our present,

"The survivors would envy the dead."
Nikita Khrushchev, Pravda, 20 July 1963

http://www.cdi.org/nuclear/nukequo.html
"A return to first principles in a republic is sometimes caused by the simple virtues of one man. His good example has such an influence that the good men strive to imitate him, and the wicked are ashamed to lead a life so contrary to his example."
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Bonehead

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Post Wed Dec 23, 2009 3:19 am

Re: 2010 - Prepare or Perish

king wrote:Everything has been dependent on WHEN the dollar will fail. Up until now, everything that can cause the collapse has been propped up. Now every single day more and more things line up to have the chance to be the one that destroys the dollar.

Everything I have mentioned is based on the collapse of the dollar. It is inevitable, its not a "oh maybe, ya sure", it has to happen. Why it hasn't happened already is manipulation pure and simple. But as I heavily detailed in the thread, the ponzi scheme can only be propped up so long before it has to collapse.

If you honestly believe that the dollar will not fail then you need to do more research. Every fiat currency ends the same way, hyper inflation until death. The great depression had 25% unemployment, and that was with industries and manufacturing. True unemployment in some states has already surpassed 20%, and we have yet to have our real economic collapse that will coincide with the collapse of the dollar. 70% of our economy is service and consumerism based, only 10% is left for manufacturing and industry.

You honestly believe that when the dollars collapses all these frivolous businesses wont collapse with it? Unemployment wont surpass 50%??? Where will anyone get a job??

Thus, if you understand the complex and impossible to conquer issues that face the global economic system, you have no choice but to admit that collapse is imminent. Once you understand collapse is imminent, just sit and think about all the repercussions. None of it is pretty.


The collapse has been "imminent" for three years now. We have another thread claiming it will happen by February. Even you must admit that the economy has been moving along by sheer momentum for longer than anyone anticipated. Do I believe the dollar will fail? Yes, eventually. But I also believe the government isn't going to stand by and just watch that happen, because TPTB and the Elite need a way to do business as well. I suspect that there will be a bank holiday and our currency will be quickly replaced with something else.

When it doesn't happen in February, we'll be told it will be June, and when that doesn't happen it will be October. Every time a date passes, a new date is set for the total destruction and annihilation of the United States.
Last edited by Bonehead on Wed Dec 23, 2009 3:20 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Post Wed Dec 23, 2009 3:46 am

Re: 2010 - Prepare or Perish

King,

Great article, and although someone might try to argue some of your points in this great article the overall message is spot on target.

For those who claim there are always doom and gloom and it hasn’t happened yet this article paints a great picture of what will come. The entire situation is at such a critical stage of collapse that the duct tape that’s been holding it together pasted along with lies, deceit and greed will finally soon unravel, consider like a dam bursting and the place not to be is downstream.

As for peak oil this has happened and is so true even with the discovery of the huge oil reserve in the Gulf of Mexico in September of this year which caused the peak oil crisis to be put off for a short while longer, the reality is that even this large new discovered reserve will go dry fast with the worlds daily consumption.

Here is the article of the huge oil discovery

http://www.bp.com/genericarticle.do?cat ... Id=7055818

But if you read how “Huge” this find is in terms of numbers of barrels of oil compared to the daily consumption / usage of world oil it only underscores the seriousness that what the oil experts consider a huge find is actually 3-6 months worth of crude oil. Meaning the oil companies would have to have three of these “huge” oil finds each year to keep up with the world demand if there were no increase in demand.

King I think when the curtain falls or however you want to describe the collapse that it will be so fast and swift that unless you are accustom to living really primitive you will not survive. The USA will be the most dangerous place in the world as many simply are not prepared combined with all the guns and ammunition and “medications” people depend on and its going to be really ugly very quickly.

Can you imagine Wal-Mart the most powerful and richest company in the world going broke? When the food and transportation stop and people cannot get to work not to mention he stores are empty Wal-Mart’s sales will crash as well. Imagine the biggest and strongest companies crashing; the little guy won’t stand a chance.

I have pointed out that Warren Buffet invested in tangible good recently and purchased Burlington Northern / Santa Fe Railroad and you have to ask yourself why.

When oil comes crashing down the railroad will be the only way to transport large amounts of goods, people, and equipment. Warren Buffet isn’t stupid and he has inside information and can see the writing on the wall. This is why he took the majority of his wealth and bet it on this purchase making it the single largest investment in his entire life and that for Berkshire Hathaway. It’s the only smart thing to do with that kind of money and parking it in such a tangible investment goes to show you he is dumping the dollars into actual good and not paper stocks on Wall Street.

I myself have seen the writing on the wall for some time and began construction this year on a super reinforced house with many special features such as rain water collection systems, gravity fed water lines to bathrooms, and special storage areas, wood burning stove, and many more options that will allow this house to function without electricity, running water, and gas.

I am sure everyone has seen my “Out on the ranch” thread here o SHTF411 that describes my living situation and the many advantages our family has, including all the animals and renewable food sources but we have been preparing and living a simple life for some time now. We have also been preparing in other ways as I mentioned in the other thread that linked this one.

We have installed 12 inch thick cement walls around our animal coral as well as divided up some of the other animals with certain family members and each family member is tasked with certain chores. For example in the fenced and protected garden one uncle grows many varieties of vegetables while another cousin handles all the cows. Yet another person does all the milking of the dairy cows and goats etc.. working together we all have our tasks and know what is needed to keep thing running.

Being organized, prepared, and practicing living a self sufficient life is something we already do and are happy to report it’s not a hard way to live.
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dodadoom

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Post Wed Dec 23, 2009 3:46 am

Re: 2010 - Prepare or Perish

@Bonehead
I suspect that there will be a bank holiday and our currency will be quickly replaced with something else.

Do you think this could allow the implementantion of the euro or amero that quickly?

They cant keep this ponzi scheme going forever...
Can they? :umm:

Good post Jakes.
Last edited by dodadoom on Wed Dec 23, 2009 3:56 am, edited 2 times in total.
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Opinions are like assholes,...
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dodadoom

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Post Wed Dec 23, 2009 3:55 am

Re: 2010 - Prepare or Perish

Von!
Let us know when to head on over! :lol:
Just call me 'dude'!
Do I need to bring my own hoss? :cheesygrin:
Last edited by dodadoom on Wed Dec 23, 2009 3:56 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Opinions are like assholes,...
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gatherer

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Post Wed Dec 23, 2009 5:44 am

Re: 2010 - Prepare or Perish

thank you KING for the most heads up, rational thread posted on this website

Sadly many millions will indeed be blindsided and not have a clue as to what is soon to occur.

Those who are awake enough and have prepared for what is to come have a large advantage.

An old saying " GOD helps those who helps themselves. "

Time has run out and my greatest fear is not from outside forces but our friends and niehbors who will be unable to cope with the realities put upon them.

We can be prepared to weather this shit storm with materialistic stockpiles but our greatest challenge will be dealing with those who have'nt considered or thought this would come to pass.

Are we to not care and possibly open fire on those who want some food or water so they can sleep', or are we to share our stores out of the good of our hearts to see them thru another day.

Never before has this land of plenty been faced with such daunting questions and real scenarios.

I need insight on this....how to handle this .....and not feel guilty because I have prepared
whiskey for my men, beer for my horses
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dodadoom

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Post Wed Dec 23, 2009 6:05 am

Re: 2010 - Prepare or Perish

Good question Gatherer!
I have also been pondering this.
Unfortunatley not everyone can be saved.
Or would want to be.
We must always err on the side of caution.
Like Doop suggested, maybe concentrate on saving the children.
The grown ups have to be able to save themselves.
They had ample warning and time to prepare.
BLAH BLAH BLAH

Opinions are like assholes,...
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Bonehead

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Post Wed Dec 23, 2009 6:24 am

Re: 2010 - Prepare or Perish

If you look at Katrina as an example, you see how people react in a long, drawn out crisis. Yes, people looted electronics, even though there wasn't any electricity. Other's formed roaming gangs that were bent on raping and pillaging.

Many neighborhoods simply banded together, and posted armed guards at all the access points and these places did fine. The worst place to be was in the government shelters.

Likely, this is what would happen on a larger scale. Most people are not going to survive on their own, unless they have a situation like VonHelman. You simply cannot stay awake guarding your garden 24/7. People are going to have to band together to survive.

Who knows, maybe it won't suck. Maybe people will discover their neighbors, learn to work together, share their knowledge and resources, defend their community and find greater meaning in their lives. Maybe large community gardens will spring up, along with the return of the farmer's markets. Maybe we won't be so isolated and self-serving.

Maybe people will realize that surviving alone isn't a life worth living and might look toward helping others. What a great opportunity to lead people to caring about each other.

Maybe what we really need is a cold reboot of society.
"YOU are homicide."

"Yeah, we xtians hate your godless ass and we are known to kill your godless ass."
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dodadoom

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Post Wed Dec 23, 2009 6:40 am

Re: 2010 - Prepare or Perish

Ah, that drink looks mighty good!
Very well said Bonehead!
You summed up alot of my thoughts that I wanted to say!
Katrina really is a great example to use!
Well done! Have one on me! :cheers:
:star5:
BLAH BLAH BLAH

Opinions are like assholes,...
everyones got one and I doubt they mean shit to the ptb.
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VonHelman

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Post Wed Dec 23, 2009 3:08 pm

Re: 2010 - Prepare or Perish

Being prepared is very good but the sad truth s many people will not be remotely prepared. This is the age old question of whether to help others who haven’t themselves prepared and reach out for your help. Just considering these soon to be situation is a really a moral struggle for many. They feel they have prepared and planned and so to hell with those who haven’t yet in the same token as they consider those others dying and the lack of human compassion and realize it’s not worth living in a world where the people have no compassion or respect for others.

I myself will help only those who are willing to contribute and provide something for the greater good. If you have a person you know who comes to you asking for help because they didn’t prepare I would explain that you only have limited supplies but in exchange for contributing and working together maybe there is something that can be achieved.

I know just having extra hands for defense and gardening is worth their weight in gold, and for those in the city or even the suburbs I strongly recommend reading the free e-book “Lights Out” as it’s a great read and very realistic.

http://www.survivalmonkey.com/SF%20book ... urrent.pdf
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Exile1981

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Post Wed Dec 23, 2009 4:49 pm

Re: 2010 - Prepare or Perish

five star
I see banned people.... at http://www.shtf411.com
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